CPI YoY provisional
Headline inflation
—
Frequency
Monthly
Horizon
—
Last observed
—
Source
BBS / BB
Forecast date · ——
Inflation is expected to remain near 8% over the next several months rather than decline quickly.
Bangladesh Forecasts
Four forward-looking signals for Bangladesh: inflation, growth, remittance inflows and monthly electricity demand. Each chart shows the latest observed path, our central forecast and the uncertainty around it.
PROVISIONAL
Not an official projection
About the Forecast Lab
Mangrove Forecast Lab publishes forecasts for Bangladesh. Forecasts are selected using out-of-sample validation and monitored for bias and stability.
Provisional
A live track record is being built. A series is labelled Production only after it has earned a sufficient record against official outcomes.
Observed
Central forecast
80% uncertainty range
Hover or touch a chart for values
Real GDP YoY provisional
Real GDP growth / nowcast
—
Frequency
Quarterly
Nowcast period
Jul–Sep 2026
Last observed
—
Source
BBS / BB
Forecast date · ——
Growth is expected to remain moderate in Jul–Sep 2026. This is a nowcast and will be reviewed when new official data are released.
* FY26 Q4 is shown for continuity only, implied by official annual data. It is not a separate Mangrove forecast.
Workers' remittances provisional
Monthly remittance inflows
—
Frequency
Monthly
Horizon
—
Last observed
—
Source
Bangladesh Bank
Forecast date · ——
The central path points to remittance inflows moving back above US$3 billion, with seasonal and event-related volatility remaining important.
Electricity demand provisional
Monthly electricity demand
—
Frequency
Monthly
Horizon
—
Last observed
—
Source
Ember / BPDB
Forecast date · ——
Demand is expected to stay near 10 TWh through October, followed by the usual year-end seasonal easing.
Live Forecast Record
The current published forecast for each series. Forecasts are scored against the first official release and are never edited after publication.
1 current forecast per series
| Series / target | Issued | Forecast | 80% range | Official outcome | Error | Status |
|---|
ForecastThe number Mangrove published before the official outcome was available.
Official outcomeThe first official release for the same target period. Later revisions are stored separately.
ErrorForecast minus official outcome. Smaller absolute error is better.
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How to read this page. Forecasts are selected using out-of-sample validation and monitored for bias and stability. Shaded ranges show an 80% uncertainty range around the central forecast.